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Economic growth in ASEAN-4 Countries: A Panel data analysis

机译:东盟四国的经济增长:面板数据分析

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摘要

This paper examines the impact of economic variables which are foreign direct investment (FDI), openness and gross fixed capital formation to economic growth which indicates using gross domestic product (GDP) over the period 1981- 2008.The impact of variables to GDP is estimated using three panel estimation models which are called pooled model (pooled), fixed effects model (FEM) and random effects model (REM).The findings show that all variables are correlated with each other and also have the positive relationship to GDP.Hence, all variables may lead economic growth boost when they are increase whereas FDI becomes the most efficient variable in order to assist economic growth and followed by openness and gross fixed capital formation.\udOtherwise, the result in Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) which implies in this study as well test all variables stationary at 5 percent level of significant.These shows only gross fixed capital formation is significant to growth and contributes the positive effect to GDP in each ASEAN-4 countries.However, OLS estimation result for Indonesia shows the other variable has significant to growth which is openness; while it gives the negative affect the GDP. Instead of Indonesia, openness is not significant at other ASEAN-4 countries such as Malaysia,Thailand and Philippines.Besides, other variable is FDI also not significant in the case of all ASEAN-4 countries.\udIt means that, openness does not correlated to growth for Malaysia, Thailand and Philippines countries; while\udFDI is not correlated to growth for all ASEAN-4 countries in this study.
机译:本文考察了外国直接投资(FDI),开放度和固定资本形成总额等经济变量对经济增长的影响,这些变量表明使用了1981-2008年期间的国内生产总值(GDP)。估算变量对GDP的影响通过使用三个面板估计模型(池模型),固定效应模型(FEM)和随机效应模型(REM),研究结果表明所有变量都相互关联,并且与GDP呈正相关。所有变量在增加时都可能导致经济增长,而外国直接投资成为最有效的变量,以辅助经济增长,其次是开放性和固定资本形成总额。\ ud否则,普通最小二乘(OLS)的结果暗示了这一点。研究还测试了所有固定在显着性水平为5%的变量。印度尼西亚的OLS估算结果显示,另一个变量对经济增长具有重要意义,即开放性。同时给GDP带来负面影响。在印度尼西亚,马来西亚,泰国和菲律宾等东盟4国中,开放度并不重要。此外,在所有东盟4国中,FDI的其他变量也并不重要。\ ud这意味着开放度并不相关马来西亚,泰国和菲律宾国家的增长; \ udFDI与本研究中所有东盟4国家的增长均不相关。

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